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White-Nose Syndrome in Bat Populations

Extinction probability graph from the activity

Topic

  • Environmental Science
  • Conservation
  • Science Practices
  • Models & Simulations
  • Graph Interpretation

Resource Type

  • Activities
  • Data Points

Level

High School — GeneralHigh School — AP/IBCollege
Saved By
14 Users
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Description

This activity guides the analysis of a published scientific figure from a study that modeled the impact of an infectious fungal disease on a bat population.

In 2006, a disease called white-nose syndrome (WNS) began wiping out bat populations in North America. Because many of these bats eat insect pests, the spread of WNS may devastate ecosystems and increase pest control costs. In this study, scientists mathematically modeled the effects of WNS to estimate extinction probabilities for the little brown bat (Myotis lucifugus) population in the northeastern United States. This figure shows these probabilities projected for five annual rates of population decline. Each projection is simulated up to 100 years after WNS emerged in the population. The “Educator Materials” document includes a captioned figure, background information, graph interpretation, and discussion questions. The “Student Handout” includes a captioned figure and background information.

Student Learning Targets

  • Analyze and interpret data from a scientific figure.
  • Make predictions based on a mathematical model that explores multiple assumptions and scenarios. 

Estimated Time

Within one 50-minute class period.

Key Terms

cumulative probability, fungus, infectious disease, invasive species, line graph, mathematical population model, regional extinction, simulation

Primary Literature

Frick, Winifred F., Jacob F. Pollock, Alan C. Hicks, Katie E. Langwig, D. Scott Reynolds, Gregory G. Turner, Calvin M. Butchkoski, and Thomas H. Kunz. "An emerging disease causes regional population collapse of a common North American bat species." Science 329, 5992 (2010): 679–682. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1188594. 

To access this article, set up a free AAAS account. An annotated version of the article is also available from Science in the Classroom.

Terms of Use

Please see the Terms of Use for information on how this resource can be used.

Accessibility Level (WCAG compliance)

PDF files meet criteria.

Version History

Date Published 12.03.18
Date Updated 04.06.22

NGSS (2013)

HS-LS2-2; SEP2, SEP4, SEP5

AP Biology (2019)

EVO-3.G, ENE-4.B; SP1, SP4

IB Biology (2016)

4.1, C.1, C.5

AP Environmental Science (2020)

Topic(s): 3.8
Learning Objectives & Practices: EIN-1.C, SP5

IB Environmental Systems and Societies (2017)

2.1

Common Core (2010)

ELA.RST.9-12.7
Math.S-ID.3, S-ID.6, Math.S-IC.1, S-IC.4; MP2, MP5

Vision and Change (2009)

CC5; DP2, DP3

Materials

Download Student Handout (PDF) 278 KB
Download Educator Materials (PDF) 385 KB
Download Student Handout - Español (PDF) 344 KB
Download Educator Materials - Español (PDF) 409 KB

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